The EU is requiring Apple to allow alternative app stores by the start of 2024. Will those app stores also be available in the US? Resolves yes if an Apple executive states that they will be, even if there is a delay compared to the EU, resolves no if Apple states that they will not be available in the US, N/A if alternative app stores do not launch in the EU.
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https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2024/01/apple-announces-changes-to-ios-safari-and-the-app-store-in-the-european-union/
The announcement extensively makes it clear the options will only be available in the EU.
https://www.techradar.com/news/ios-17-app-sideloading-might-only-be-available-in-europe
Rumors of iOS 17 allowing app sideloading continue to rumble on, but in the latest round of unconfirmed chatter there's a caveat: the feature will apparently only be available in Europe, and won't be coming to the US.
This comes from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman, a reliable authority on advance Apple information. Speaking to the MacRumors (opens in new tab) podcast, Gurman said that he thinks app sideloading will be only available in Europe.
@josh Good questions, yes, if an Apple executive doesn't make a clear statement then I will resolve based on whether alternative App Stores are available for US users, without using a VPN, by the close date of this market, July 1, 2024