When will US Supreme Court hear a case on AI legal personhood?
6
150Ṁ222
2060
August 17, 2041
10%
2020s
45%
2030s
25%
2040s
17%
2050s
3%
2060+ or never

This market predicts whether and when the US Supreme Court will hear a case specifically addressing AI legal personhood or property ownership rights.

Context: The US legal system is already grappling with AI-related cases, primarily focused on copyright (Thaler v. Perlmutter) and intellectual property. As AI systems become more autonomous, questions about their legal status will likely reach higher courts.

Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to a date range if, in that date range:

  1. The US Supreme Court grants certiorari to a case that explicitly addresses whether AI systems can have legal personhood or property ownership rights, OR

  2. The Court issues a ruling in such a case

for the first time.

The case must directly address AI legal personhood or property rights, not merely tangential issues like copyright of AI-generated works where the AI itself is not claiming ownership.

Resolution will be based on official Supreme Court documents or reputable legal news sources.

Market context
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