When will Fable be publicly accessible again?
38
Ṁ1kṀ16kresolved Jul 1
Resolved
January 29, 20271H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolved
NOBefore June 15, 2026
Resolved
NOJune 16-22, 2026
Resolved
NOJune 23-30, 2026
Resolved
YESJuly 1-15, 2026
Resolved
NOJuly 16-31, 2026
Resolved
NOAugust 2026
Resolved
NOSeptember 2026 or later
Fable no longer accessible to anyone while Anthropic implements controls against non-US nationals accessing the model:
Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): US-only access counts as resolution — the market resolves when Fable becomes accessible at all, regardless of geographic restrictions. This is not contingent on US regulations being relaxed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@xjp that counts and is my assumption as to what is most likely to happen. This question is not about the US relaxing its regulations, it's about the model being accessible at all.
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