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MANIFOLD
How restrictive will Fable's new safeguards be, according to manifold?
15
Ṁ1.1kṀ4.1k
resolved Jul 23
100%12%
8/10
1.2%
0/10
3%
1/10
7%
2/10
5%
3/10
13%
4/10
15%
5/10
16%
6/10
14%
7/10
8%
9/10
5%
10/10

10/10 is Super duper restrictive, 0/10 is not restrictive at all

I will create a poll asking manifold users to vote on one of these options, and will resolve this market based on the option with the most votes. Note that ties will mean the resolution will split among the winners

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How does this market resolve?

8/10

eternal

hakari

tyrathalis

eliott

maxstellar

3/10

tyler

jaund

bayesian

6/10

xi jinping

eli

nikki

2/10

joe and seth

lason koukas

4/10

ben

jason

5/10

loops!

jim

7/10

consnop

sinus

10/10

itzsushii

8/10 wins

@Bayesian In retrospect I feel like this methodology is a bit susceptible to noise, like a minority on one number could win if people on the other end of the scale happen to split their votes more across adjacent numbers. Maybe in the future it would make sense to take the average response and round it? Or a median.

@xjp likewise, yeah exactly what i was planning to do

accidentally resolved that poll and cant unresolve it for wahtever reason

anyone that voted on the old one but doesn't on the new (keeping that one open for 7 days) will be counted

what a beautiful bell curve

I was rerouted from asking a question about B vitamins

How does this relate to it autorouting code requests to Opus 4.8? Does this qualify as a "restriction"? Because it technically is motivated by restricting users from using the scary fable code capabilities right?

that one change makes it super duper restrictive 😢

@0xseraphim From my usage this doesn't really seem to happen that often, in fact I've been using it for some research coding + side projects and never actually noticed any requests getting re-routed or denied (that said, this could've happened as sessions were going without me noticing).

@Jasonb It's possible they're adjusting claude code routing server-side and they'll make it less aggressive. I did get a good result using fable 5 in the web interface earlier. But tokens be expensive so...

@0xseraphim i'll leave the interpreting of the question to the poll answerers