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MANIFOLD
When will Fable be available on a subscription again?
21
Ṁ1.1kṀ8k
Dec 31
July 18, 2026
99%
Before August 2026
99%
Before September 2026
99%
Before October 2026
99%
Before November 2026
99%
Before January 2027

Fable will be removed from Anthropic subscriptions on July 7th, but Anthropic has said they want to bring it back as soon as possible. (Thariq (@trq212) on X, https://www.anthropic.com)

When Fable (or a Fable class model per Anthropic) comes back to any subscription plan that costs less than 250$, all options that after this point in time resolve YES. When an options goes by without a relase, it resolves NO.

I may bet on this market.

  • Update 2026-07-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will wait until end of July to resolve, to account for recent plan changes. If the release proceeds as described in the linked tweet, all options will resolve YES.

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@Chimpey Please don't advertise your market on unrelated markets. @mods

@4fa hadn't seen your ping yet but oh boy opening manifold and having my notifs flooded... yeah that's a temp commenting ban. still working through hiding em all

@AviEisenberg if everything happens like described in the tweet, then yes, every option resolves YES. I think I will wait until end of July to resolve, as there were a lot of plan changes in the past days.

sold Ṁ29 NO

@traders Clarification: If Fable stays available for the whole of July and there is no other date set for when it will leave, I would resolve every option YES. If it leaves on e.g. July 15th and comes back in August, I would resolve Before August to NO others to YES. Open to feedback on this.

Thanks to @ahalekelly for adding 1000 liquidity!