Inspired by the more specific market:

https://manifold.markets/Harlan/will-andrew-yang-run-for-president-hQqURlRzp0

Resolves YES if the Forward Party runs a presidential candidate in the 2028 US election. If the party officially supports a candidate as "theirs", this will count for YES resolution even if that candidate does not qualify for the ballot in any US states. If a candidate reaches the ballot for both the Forward Party and another party, that also counts as YES. If the Forward Party ceases to exist, that will count as NO — unless, in my judgment, a new entity formed out of the Forward Party is "basically the same thing", in which case I'll use my best judgment (likely a partial resolution). A merger with a substantively different party would still imply a NO.

Set closing date to election day but will resolve earlier in case of YES.