In 2038, will a movie be able to generate a high-quality AI to a prompt?
11
100
300
2038
66%
chance

Movie = Any interactive experience that can be considered a continuation or successor to 20th and early 21st century movies
High-quality AI = at least as capable as ChatGPT 4 or DALL·E 3

Prompt = Any command, verbal, written or neural

Suppose there are interactive movie-like experiences, where the viewer can influence what happens (like Netflix's Bandersnatch but good).

The market resolves YES if, in the course of such experience, the consumer can prompt a high quality AI into being and ask or have characters ask it things. The consumer must be able to specify the nature of the AI in a variety of ways. For example, any of the following prompts should work:

  • a chatbot similar to ChatGPT 3.5

  • image generating AI that only draws animals

  • ChatGPT 4 but super skilled in mathematics

It must be the consumer of the movie who has the AI created and not the producers, It does not matter how the movie goes about implementing this, it is fine if it just pretends to be the AI requested as long as it does it well.

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Game prototype Inworld Origins is arguably an interactive movie.

It runs on chatGPT.

Does it resolve the market?

If you can prompt engineer your way into it breaking character and talking to you as default openai assistant - does that resolve the market?

I'm very unclear on the resolution criteria.

@ProjectVictory Cool project

The key point with regards to your question is

The consumer must be able to specify the nature of the AI in a variety of ways

Jailbreaking to access the underlying model is a valid method, but the viewer must also be able to specify what kind of AI should be brought into being. It should be possible to bring into being most variations of ChatGPT 4 or DALL·E 3. It must not break the continuity of the game/movie experience.

If a game/movie uses a model that can satisfactorily emulate variations of ChatGPT 4 or DALL·E 3, and you can get it to follow, e.g. "From now on this character behaves like ChatGPT 4 who only talks about animals" (and other variations) and then are able to query it, that is enough to resolve this market.

@admissions do you basically accept any game as being an interactive movie for your question's purposes?

@Ramble No, that's too far. I took "Game prototype Inworld Origins is arguably an interactive movie." at face value, but originally I wrote

> Any interactive experience that can be considered a continuation or successor to 20th and early 21st century movies

I will require multiple external sources comparing the game to a movie or describing it as movie-like. I think many games fit this criterion, but definitely not all or most.

This is so stupid, but also legitimately seems very likely

If we got a system composed of ChatGPT writing a script + Sora making a video based on the script + some audio generator making audio based on the script and video + some UI that asks the user "what should happen next," we'd basically already be there

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