Will there be a major, publicly available text predictor AI which incorporates an internal thought process by 2025?

Ṁ167Ṁ59

resolved Sep 12

Resolved

YES

ALL

Will resolve yes if by 2025 I learn about, or can find, a text generation AI that I could use or purchase access to, which has a dedicated feature that resembles an internal thought process that is suspected by the developers to improve response accuracy.

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ChatGPT o1-preview is now available, and does this exact thing.

For a rough sketch, the following are some precedent models that may be what parts of this end up looking like.

MuZero by DeepMind

World Models by Ha&Schmidhüber

SHIFTT by DeepMind (Felix Hill specifically, hard to Google for) and the model from the later paper by the same author

Dreamer by DeepMind

@CarterHinsley This would also agree with some foreshadowing Demis Hassabis has done about later coming versions of Gemini -- he mentioned the AlphaGo family of models, which MuZero is the last one of. It is also the only one that has what you would consider 'internal thought.'