USA campaigns in the middle east in the 90s and 2000s was primarily about stopping anyone except USA allies (israel) from maintaining a nuclear program. Having access to nuclear weapons is the best and most successful strategy for a nation to achieve prosperity and sovereignty. Failing to obtain nuclear arms historically leads the nation being the victim of a USA-backed coupdetat and the nation's citizens being made poor and destitute and without freedom

@JamieCrom Iran's citizens are already poor and destitute without freedom. Meanwhile under the Shah the Iranian economy grew a ton.

Is there a difference between this market and https://manifold.markets/Nostradamnedus/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by?

@toms Oops.. no 😅

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5253/iran-obtains-nuclear-weapon-by-2030/

@BrendanFinan You can embed metaculus too.