Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030? | Manifold

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

41

172

Ṁ2.7k

Ṁ1k

2030

44%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Get Ṁ600 play money

Related questions

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?

Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?

Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?

Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?

Sort by:

USA campaigns in the middle east in the 90s and 2000s was primarily about stopping anyone except USA allies (israel) from maintaining a nuclear program. Having access to nuclear weapons is the best and most successful strategy for a nation to achieve prosperity and sovereignty. Failing to obtain nuclear arms historically leads the nation being the victim of a USA-backed coupdetat and the nation's citizens being made poor and destitute and without freedom

bought Ṁ40 of NO

Is there a difference between this market and https://manifold.markets/Nostradamnedus/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by?

@toms Oops.. no 😅

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5253/iran-obtains-nuclear-weapon-by-2030/

bought Ṁ15 of YES

@BrendanFinan You can embed metaculus too.

Related questions

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?

Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?

Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?

Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?

Related questions

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?

Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?

Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?

Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?

Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?