Will Joe Biden have a positive net approval in his first term?
Plus
28
Ṁ4153Jan 21
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if FiveThirtyEight's Biden approval rating shows Joe Biden with an approval rating higher than his disapproval rating any time between February 23, 2023 and January 20, 2025. Otherwise, resolves NO on January 20, 2025. Resolves N/A if FiveThirtyEight's Biden approval rating tracker is unavailable and market participants cannot agree on a suitable replacement
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Joe Biden get impeached in his first term?
2% chance
Will Joe Biden's Approval Rating Reach 50% or Higher?
3% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
20% chance
Will Trump ever have a net positive approval rating? (Read Description)
51% chance
Will Biden Complete Full First Term?
96% chance
Will Joe Biden's approval rating reach 50% in his first term?
4% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
25% chance
Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?
60% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
35% chance
Will the 47th President reach a worse net approval rating than Biden?
44% chance