Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050?
Plus
24
Ṁ23092050
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves to YES if Israel (either civilian judicial systems or the military) has jurisdiction over less than 5% of the land area of the West Bank (as defined by the 1949 armistice) at any point before 2050.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Israel annex any part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
47% chance
Will Israel fully annex the west bank by 2045?
38% chance
Will Israel dismantle any settlements in the West Bank before the end of 2035?
61% chance
Will Israel occupy Gaza on a semi-permanent or permanent basis before 2025?
70% chance
Will the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
36% chance
Will Israel still exist in 2100?
75% chance
Will Israel break ground on a settlement in Gaza by the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will Israel create any new settlements by the end of 2035?
78% chance
Will Israel annex Gaza and move to expel a majority of its current residents by 2025?
7% chance
[Metaculus] Will Israel recognize Palestine by 2070?
45% chance