Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? [Polymarket]
6
1kṀ2561Dec 31
14%
chance
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Resolves identically to this polymarket.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has ceased all ground operations within and has withdrawn all ground forces from Gaza between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn into or behind intended buffer zones, even if that zone is established on internationally recognized Palestinian territory.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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