When will the first humans land on Mars?
31
1kṀ13262100
2040
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to the year in which humans land on Mars, or 2099 if no humans land on Mars in the 21st century.
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How you make this kind of market? can't see the option. They discontinued it?
Similar question on Metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3515/when-will-the-first-humans-land-successfully-on-mars/
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