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MANIFOLD
Will the '2026 Polish coup attempt' Wikipedia article be renamed or deleted in 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ120
resolved Oct 31
100%68%
Deleted
23%
Renamed to remove the word 'coup', but not deleted
9%
Neither of the above

Resolution criteria

This market concerns the following English-language Wikipedia article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Polish_coup_attempt

If the article is deleted at any time before the close date, this market will immediately resolve "Deleted".

If, at the close date, the article has been renamed to remove the word 'coup' from the title, but the article has not been deleted, this market will resolve "Renamed to remove the word 'coup', but not deleted".

This market will otherwise resolve "Neither of the above".

Close date

This market is set to close at 11:59pm CET on 31 December 2026.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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It's been redirected to another article... imo this is closer to deletion than renaming, so I'm resolving "Deleted" YES, but I'll refund any losing bets as it's debatable (and my bad for not considering this possibility)