Background

Politicians in Slovenia have floated the idea of holding a consultative referendum on the issue of NATO membership and/or military expenditure.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve YES if Slovenia holds a referendum relating to the issue of NATO membership or military expenditure before the close date.

This market will otherwise resolve NO once the close date has passed.

Glossary

For the purpose of this market:

NATO is the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation.

A referendum includes any type of national referendum, binding or non-binding.

Close date

This market is due to close at 22:00:00 UTC on 30 April 2026.

Resolution principles

• It will be presumed that the event in question has not occurred until it is proven to have occurred.

• In the event that the resolution of the market is subjective or contentious, traders will be properly consulted.

Interpretation principles

• The resolution criteria will be interpreted in accordance with their apparent meaning, without regard to any intention of the market creator that is not evident in the text.

• No clause, sentence or word in the resolution criteria will be considered superfluous, void or insignificant if by any other interpretation they may all be made useful and pertinent.

Further information and clarifications

I will not trade in this market.