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MANIFOLD
Will Moldova hold a referendum on unification with Romania by the end of 2027?
1
Ṁ1kṀ15
2027
39%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, Moldova holds a referendum regarding the unification of Moldova and Romania into a single sovereign state.

This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.

Close date

This market is set to close at 23:59:00 UTC on 31 December 2027.

Clarifications

The Britannica Dictionary offers the following definitions of 'referendum':

an event in which the people of a county, state, etc., vote for or against a law that deals with a specific issue

a public vote on a particular issue

For the purpose of this market:

  • a sub-national referendum will not be sufficient for a YES resolution;

  • the referendum must be authorised by the Moldovan government in order to trigger a YES resolution;

  • the referendum does not need to be legally or constitutionally binding in order to trigger a YES resolution.

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