Will Ireland Unification Referendum happen by 2030? | Manifold

Will Ireland Unification Referendum happen by 2030?

5

90Ṁ105

2030

23%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This will resolve YES if Norther Ireland will hold a referendum which takes unification with the Republic of Ireland into question, before Januar 1 2031.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Ireland

Market context

Collective Autonomy

Northern Ireland

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