Will we have high-quality real-time age transitions for video calls before 2026 ends?
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For example, during the video call, I tell my AI or google meet or facetime or whatever to make me look 19 today and it does so seamlessly as in the person on the other side cannot "obviously" tell my real age.
Or if I want to look 46 today for something I want to look older for, and I ask the AI to do it and it does so pretty quickly just before the video call, and the other person can't tell from my face if i'm 23 or 46, then yeah it counts.
Resolves YES if its possible to do this even today. Must be reliable, must work in real time video calls, and must be good quality. Must not be generic transitions, but suitable to each unique face.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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