Will the "OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI before end of 2025" market go below 20% before the end of 2024?
15
230Ṁ6788
resolved Jan 9
Resolved
YES

After the creation of this market, only.

The market in question:

The market must stay under 20% for over 75% of a time period of 12 hrs to prevent transient spikes from counting.

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Resolves YES.

Surely the resolution criterion needs to be like "stays under 20% for over X% of a time length Y" to prevent people buying a ton of shares in some direction and immediately selling?

@MadCloud101 Alright, adding that

predictedYES

@firstuserhere I also added the "for over X%" to prevent transient spikes during the time period in the YES direction

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