Will Apple release an iphone without a camera bump before 2028?
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20
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32%
chance
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1M
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Start date of this market contract: December 25, 2023
End date of this market contract: December 31, 2027
Resolves YES if Apple releases a phone (whether it's called iphone or something else - iphone has been used in the title since that is the only line of phones that Apple sells at the present time) without a camera bump. it does not count if the camera bump is noticeably smaller. It should be a "more or less flat back".
It goes against the spirit of the market if Apple releases a phone without a camera, and thus without a camera bump. So, that will not count.
Resolves YES even if it is released and called back, or if Apple is geo-restricted in where in can sell such a product.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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