
Will an LLM be able to match the ground truth >85% of the time when performing PII detection by 2024 end?
25
Ṁ1kṀ4.7kDec 31
84%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
PII - personal identification information
Stuff like people's names, numbers and codes that identify stuff (SSN, phone number, passport etc), places, locations, names of orgs, attributes that can be used to identify a person, etc.
GPT-4 outperforms Presidio, Microsoft's custom built tool for PII detection. GPT-4 matches ground truth ~77.4% of the times, while it misses a single PII element ~13% of the time.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@PatrickDelaney I think microsoft tested against their in house system, which does detect PII on real data
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there by a major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2027?
45% chance
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
71% chance
Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?
14% chance
Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?
72% chance
Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?
90% chance
Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2028?
75% chance
Will any widely used LLM be pre-trained with abstract synthetic data before 2030?
72% chance
Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2029?
87% chance
Will there be a state-of-the-art LLM that is NOT based on next raw token prediction before 2029?
55% chance
Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2030?
89% chance