Which country will have the most Electric Vehicles (EVs) at the end of 2025?
6
290Ṁ349Dec 31
78%
China
3%
USA
2%
India
5%
Japan
6%
Germany
6%Other
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Which country will have the most Electric Vehicles (EVs) at the end of 2026?
What will be the total number of electric vehicles sold globally in 2025?
23m
Will electric vehicles make up more than 25% of new US car sales by the end of 2025?
5% chance
What will be the maximum EPA-rated range for consumer electric vehicles (EVs) sold in the United States in 2025?
Will there be more EV charging stations installed in the US in 2025 than 2024?
76% chance
Will Chinese EV make for more than 45% of new cars in 2027?
89% chance
Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?
19% chance
Will Tesla's market share of EVs sold in the US be above 50% in 2025?
16% chance
What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2025?
27% chance
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
74% chance