MANIFOLD
How many days will I be traveling in 2023?
29
Ṁ530Ṁ1.1k
resolved Dec 29
Resolved as
54%

How many days will I be traveling in 2023 - If I am in flight for 16 hours, I will still count it as a travel day.

I do work while traveling as well, which gives me more flexibility to do short trips closeby.

I will resolve the market to [PROB] = [number of days I traveled]. In case I do more than 100 days, it resolved it YES.

That said, I'm open to suggestions for any quiet relaxing places anywhere in the world - I will add them to my list and travel to them either this year or in the coming years depending on availability and funds available to me. I love both beaches and mountain cabins and everything in between. Always up for an adventure and meeting new people :)

Close date updated to 2024-01-01 10:13 pm

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Hello, based on the data you provided I made the following prediction:

I first analyzed the provided data to identify the overall trend and seasonality patterns. There's an upward trend from January to September, with dips in June and July. Additionally, I noticed higher values in April-May and September, indicating a possible seasonal pattern.

Based on these observations, I used statistical modeling techniques to estimate the future values. I considered two approaches:

1.Trendline Analysis: using the LINEST function

2.Seasonality Adjustment: To account for seasonality, where I used the TREND function.

Predictive Modeling: By combining these two approaches, I generated a forecast based on the assumption that the upward trend and seasonal pattern observed in the data will continue.

Which leads to a total of 61 days for the 2023 year.

That being said here are some suggestions for you:

-Whitehaven Beach, Australia

-Lofoten Islands, Norway

-Fiordland National Park, New Zealand

-Palawan, Philippines

-Galapagos Islands, Ecuador

I hope you have a great time!!

Total so far: 17 + ? for may and june + 8 + 10 = 35 + a few

September expected : 7 days min

@firstuserhere sept mid point check in:

8 already

@firstuserhere 2 more makes it 10 for september

May: <will update later>

June: <will update later>

July: 4

August: 4

May: I'll need to check my maps and calenders again but ~5?

June: 0

April: 4 days

Total so far this year: 17 days of travel

March: 0 days

Total for the year: 13 days

February: 2 days

Total for the year: 13 days

predictedYES

January: 11 days.

Total for the year: 11 days.

I will be commenting at the end of each month with the number of days traveled that month for people to estimate their approximations better. I have not yet thought about whether I should share upcoming plans or only share retrospectively.

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