By the end of 2024, will at least one >100 karma LW post be revealed to have been mostly written by AI?
Basic
18
507
2025
18%
chance

Revealed - it was not known prior to the post getting famous, by most readers of the post, that it was written by an AI. They may have suspected so, but it was not told to them.

Only posts put on LW after the start of this market contract will be eligible candidates

(counts even if it was cherry-picked)

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

https://www.lesswrong.com/allPosts?sortedBy=top&timeframe=allTime to get an estimate for how many upvotes are common on LW

A weaker version

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