
By 2030, AI can autonomously prove mathematical theorems that are publishable in mathematics journals today?
31
1kṀ23612030
72%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
AI can autonomously prove mathematical theorems that are publishable in mathematics journals today
- including generating the theorems to prove. 
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get  1,000 to start trading!
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Can the AI use a proof assistant (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proof_assistant), or have it as part of its own code?
If not, then do you restrict the AI type to be only a LLM / solely made up of a neural network?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI implement a full infinity-topos mathematical framework by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?
63% chance
Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?
30% chance
Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2026?
25% chance
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
26% chance
Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2035?
39% chance
In 2029, will any AI be able to take an arbitrary proof in the mathematical literature and translate it into a form suitable for symbolic verification? (Gary Marcus benchmark #5)
78% chance
Will aesop be able to replace >50% of mathlib proofs by 2025-11-26?
32% chance
Will Terence Tao publish a Math paper such that some result was solved by AI before 2028?
40% chance
Will an AI model write the proof to the Riemann Hypothesis by the end of 2025?
1% chance