By 2030, AI can autonomously prove mathematical theorems that are publishable in mathematics journals today?
21
38
Never closes
<10%
10-30%
30-50%
50-70%
70-90%
>90%
AI can autonomously prove mathematical theorems that are publishable in mathematics journals today
including generating the theorems to prove.
Get แน600 play money
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
20% chance
Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
64% chance
Will any AI be able to formalize >=90% of IMO problems by the start of 2025?
25% chance
Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?
33% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?
73% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
45% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
65% chance
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
48% chance
By 2030, AI can autonomously prove mathematical theorems that are publishable in mathematics journals today?
36% chance
In 2029, will any AI be able to take an arbitrary proof in the mathematical literature and translate it into a form suitable for symbolic verification? (Gary Marcus benchmark #5)
36% chance