By 2028, will there be a public instance of an AI cybersecurity system autonomously replicating itself?
Plus
14
Ṁ1102027
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Yes: There is at least one publicly reported instance.
No: There are no publicly reported instances.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
By the end of 2024, will there be a major security vulnerability reported to be caused by AI generated code?
60% chance
By 2029, will an AI escape containment?
46% chance
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
61% chance
By the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”?
30% chance
Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?
24% chance
Will there be another blatant demonstration of AI risks, comparable to Bing Chat, by 2024?
30% chance
By 2029, will there be a public "rogue AI" incident?
89% chance
There will be a name for escaped self-perpetuating AI systems in the wild, and it will be commonly used by mid 2027
28% chance
(AI virus) When will an AI first replicate onto new hardware against user intent?
2026
Will AI spread through malware before 2025?
14% chance