
By 2028, AI can perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam
competition.
9
Never closes
<10%
10-30%
30-50%
50-70%
70-90%
>90%
Perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam competition—a math contest whose questions have known solutions, but which are difficult for the best young mathematicians
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
In 2028, will a commercial AI be able to play almost all computer games at human level with zero-shot computer use?
38% chance
AI outperforms humans in all mathematical research areas by 2028?
61% chance
Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028?
45% chance
By 2028, AI can perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam
competition.
95% chance
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2027?
89% chance
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?
94% chance
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?
96% chance
In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the PutnamBench leaderboard?
7/1/28
Putnam Top 100 #3: Will any AI score in the top 100 Putnam scorers by start of 2027?
99% chance
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2028?
83% chance