Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?
23
113
Ṁ1.9kṀ1.1k
2029
66%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See: https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1787833286334480593
"BP NEEDS 70% FEWER THIRD-PARTY CODERS BECAUSE OF AI: CEO Highest paid jobs about to be hit with a neutron bomb."
This market will resolve according to this source if available: https://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/software-developers.htm. If not, will look for best available parallel.
Right now, it lists 1,795,300 jobs as of 2022.
(For the record, it says average salary $130,160 or $62.58 per hour)
This resolves YES if the number listed is at least 1,800,000 jobs at resolution, however lagged that measurement might be at the time.
This resolves NO if the number listed is less than that.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
Related questions
In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?
70% chance
Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2029?
37% chance
Will the BLS predict a net decline in jobs over the occupations "Computer Programmer" and "Software Developer" by 2028?
33% chance
Will Levels.fyi's next report claim that software engineer salaries continued to decline through 2024?
48% chance
Will software engineer's real salaries be lower in 2025 than they were in 2022, per Levels.fyi? (Inflation adjusted!)
53% chance
Will software engineer's real salaries be lower in 2026 than they were in 2022, per Levels.fyi? (Inflation adjusted!)
41% chance
Will the bureau of labor say computer programmers' (inflation-adjusted) salaries decreased between 2023 and 2030?
32% chance
Will Levels.fyi report that software engineer's salaries are lower in 2026 than they were in 2022?
16% chance
Will the BLS show growth in delivery truck driver employment through 2029?
53% chance
Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?
75% chance