
By Mar 2025 will Zvi think working in the EU AI Office is a good idea to reduce x-risk?
18
260
Ṁ331Ṁ410
2025
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ1
Ṁ10
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ14 +48%
New probability
68% +0.7%
By March 2025, will Zvi think that working for the EU's AI Office is a good option for Europeans to reduce existential risks from AI?
Question comes from Max (https://twitter.com/MaxHotz/status/1758122969732141489) who is considering such a position.
Resolves YES if I think this is a good option. Does not have to be best option, merely a good option.
Resolves NO if I think this is a bad option. Does not have to be actively harmful, merely not a good use of time.
I do not usually do this, but: Resolves to a percentage (which may or may not be market price) if I do not feel I have enough information to say nor does it seem worth the time to investigate. If I do this, I will not trade the market at any point.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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