This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Wonka" (2023) grosses more than $30,000,000 during its domestic opening weekend. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The "Domestic Opening" number listed on BoxOfficeMojo https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2942927617/ will be used to resolve this market.
Other details:
Typically the "Domestic Opening" on BoxOfficeMojo includes all of North America, as well as Thursday previews—regardless, I will use whatever number is listed.
For a concrete example of the number I will cite, the "Domestic Opening" listed for "Oppenheimer" is $82,455,420.
The market will resolve once the opening weekend values are finalized, which may be before the listed date. If BoxOfficeMojo does not cite a number by December 1st, I will use an alternative source.
I may choose to trade in my own markets if they have clear, objective resolution criteria (like this one).
If any aspects of the resolution criteria are unclear, please ask.
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@LucasThelen Yup this will resolve "YES", but unless there's any particular urgency I'll wait ~24h or so for BoxOfficeMojo to remove the blue "estimates" tag from the dailies (Normally by Monday or Tuesday it shows exact dollar amounts, not just in the millions) to make it official.
Related market: "Will 'Wonka' (2023) gross more than $160M domestically within its first 2 months of release?"
https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/will-wonka-2023-gross-more-than-160?r=WmlkZGxldHdpeA
Related market: “Will Wonka gross more than $35M”
https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/will-wonka-2023-gross-30m-on-its-op?r=WmlkZGxldHdpeA