Will "Mean Girls" (2024) gross $30M on its opening weekend?

Question

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Mean Girls" (2024) grosses more than $30,000,000 during its domestic opening weekend. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

The "Domestic Opening" number listed on BoxOfficeMojo https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt11762114/ will be used to resolve this market.

Other details:

I will use the "Domestic Opening" listed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined. For a concrete example, the "Domestic Opening" for "Oppenheimer" would have been $82,455,420.

For context, AFAIK, typically that "Domestic Opening" number is the 3-day total (plus Thursday previews) for North America (e.g. it wouldn't include a holiday Monday). But that's just my informal understanding, not a rule for resolution—I will use their "Domestic Opening", however they calculate it.

The market will resolve once the opening weekend values are finalized, which may be before the listed date. If BoxOfficeMojo does not cite a number by January 19th, I will use an alternative source.

I may choose to trade in my own markets if they have clear, objective resolution criteria (like this one).

If any aspects of the resolution criteria are unclear, please ask.

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Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 16, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.