Will Kamala win New York by >8 points?
Basic
43
Ṁ19k
Nov 5
92%
chance

This market resolves YES if Kamala wins New York by >8 points, and NO otherwise.

Same rules as the Florida market (but for Kamala).

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I will resolve this soon but I’ve been spooked by other cases of incorrect early resolution because it looked like 99% had reported only for that to be wrong. The current result is only 1.8% above the market threshold, with 97% reported, so with it close I’ll likely wait until it’s been stable for a bit at 99% reporting

@traders Catching up on resolutions now. Florida market rules say that if the result is close, I'll wait for certified results. Currently Kamala is up 11+ points so I don't think the result is close, but there's some outstanding vote so I'll give people some time if they want to dispute (in which case I'll wait)

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