Will Kamala Harris win the New York State Presidential Election by at least 20%?
78
1kṀ9359resolved Nov 6
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Very few observers expect Kamala Harris to lose the state of New York in the 2024 Presidential Election. She could however win New York by a historically small margin.
This questions resolves YES if Kamala Harris's fraction of total votes is at least 0.2 larger than Donald Trump's fraction of total votes.
For example, if Harris receives 56%, Trump receives 36%, and third parties/write-ins receive 8%, this question resolves YES.
Ballots that do not include any vote for President are not counted.
This question will resolve on election night if the initial count answers the question with mathematical certainty. If the initial count finds a margin between 19-21%, this question will be extended until the results are certified by New York State.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ1,194 | |
2 | Ṁ963 | |
3 | Ṁ429 | |
4 | Ṁ290 | |
5 | Ṁ234 |