
This market resolves YES if Kamala wins New York by >8 points, and NO otherwise.
Same rules as the Florida market (but for Kamala).
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
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1 | Ṁ6,000 | |
2 | Ṁ1,088 | |
3 | Ṁ963 | |
4 | Ṁ334 | |
5 | Ṁ108 |
@traders I want to be careful with this, but from what I can tell, NY is at 99% reporting, and even with the ~100k votes outstanding, even that number would not be enough to change the result. So the only way this doesn't resolve YES is if previously reported results are wrong. This is strictly a mana market so I will resolve it now (since it can be unresolved in the vanishingly unlikely chance that the reported results are changed).
Edit: lol nvm for some reason I thought this was >10 points, in which case it could be close. I see this is >8 points, so this can very safely resolve. ignore the above
I will resolve this soon but I’ve been spooked by other cases of incorrect early resolution because it looked like 99% had reported only for that to be wrong. The current result is only 1.8% above the market threshold, with 97% reported, so with it close I’ll likely wait until it’s been stable for a bit at 99% reporting
@traders Catching up on resolutions now. Florida market rules say that if the result is close, I'll wait for certified results. Currently Kamala is up 11+ points so I don't think the result is close, but there's some outstanding vote so I'll give people some time if they want to dispute (in which case I'll wait)