Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?

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Ṁ19k

resolved Nov 7

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YES

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@jim Poly’s at 80%, Jim’s order’s in!

upgraded!

Previous results in New York: 2020: Biden +23 2016: Clinton +22 2012: Obama +28 2008: Obama +27 2004: Kerry +18 2000: Gore +25 1996: Clinton +29 1992: Clinton +16 1988: Dukakis +4

Resolves YES if Kamala Harris wins New York state by 10.0% (or more).

See Polymarket for a market on the same value.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#2024 US Election

#Kamala Harris

#New York

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@mattyb we’re now >95%, and the lead is still 12%. I don’t see a >=2pt slip when the vote is essentially fully counted, and it didn’t move an inch from 92% => 95%.

This Resolves YES.

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It’s 92% counted and a 12% lead. I’m going to wait for tomorrow, or >95%, or a Poly resolve, but quite likely going to be a YES.

@mattyb we’re now >95%, and the lead is still 12%. I don’t see a >=2pt slip when the vote is essentially fully counted, and it didn’t move an inch from 92% => 95%.

This Resolves YES.