Will Lula da Silva win the 2022 presidential elections in Brazil?
Basic
50
Ṁ16kresolved Oct 31
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins the presidential election in Brazil, scheduled for Oct 2nd, 2022 (1st round) and Oct 30th, 2022 (2nd round). The market resolves NO if Lula withdraws his candidacy, (inclusive-)or if another candidate wins the election.
The market resolves N/A if the election is postponed for more than two weeks. Otherwise, the above applies.
The market will be resolved as soon as an official result is widely reported (expected within the week after the second election round).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
56% chance
Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
80% chance
Will Lula's government have an approval rating of 50% or higher on December 31st, 2024?
47% chance
Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?
42% chance
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Will Lula da Silva still be alive through the end of 2024?
95% chance
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
90% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the next Brazilian presidential elections?
2% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential elections?
3% chance