Will anyone lose at least M$500,000 on a single market by the end of 2023? (v2)
43
292
630
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

I relaunch this market after resolution of the fisrt one :

https://manifold.markets/Zardoru/will-anyone-lose-at-least-m500000-o

I will ignore bets placed to manipulate this market, such as someone using an alt account to bet against themselves and have one of the accounts "lose" by M$500,000. I want this to be about "real" profit on "real" markets.

Only resolved market loss counts.

Any markets that resolved prior to this market being created don't count. This means WvM doesn't count.

1,000,000 version : https://manifold.markets/Zardoru/will-anyone-lose-at-least-m1000000-f62600b27321

2,000,000 version : https://manifold.markets/Zardoru/will-anyone-lose-at-least-m2000000-f24acd1bbac1

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ148 of NO

I'm not seeing any current market that could meet this, and it seems very unlikely such a high-volume market would emerge and resolve in the next few days.

Why isn't this being used for hedging against /firstuserhere/will-firstuserhere-walk-100000-step by users?

predicted NO

@firstuserhere You are a little bit shy of having enough shares in the 100k steps market. Buy some more and I will arb this

@Shump How so? My spent exceeds the amount here