I relaunch this market after resolution of the fisrt one :
https://manifold.markets/Zardoru/will-anyone-lose-at-least-m1000000
I will ignore bets placed to manipulate this market, such as someone using an alt account to bet against themselves and have one of the accounts "lose" by M$1,000,000. I want this to be about "real" profit on "real" markets.
Only resolved market loss counts.
Any markets that resolved prior to this market being created don't count. This means WvM doesn't count.
500,000 version : https://manifold.markets/Zardoru/will-anyone-lose-at-least-m500000-o-ee0332bd10bd
2,000,000 version : https://manifold.markets/Zardoru/will-anyone-lose-at-least-m2000000-f24acd1bbac1
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ214 | |
| 2 | Ṁ189 | |
| 3 | Ṁ125 | |
| 4 | Ṁ121 | |
| 5 | Ṁ112 |
@arctangent Interesting question. Does this market applies to end-of-year markets, including itself ?
It closes at 31 déc. 2023, 23:59:00, it can resolve YES at any time before but then another market is involved so there is no paradox. It can only be resolved NO after midnight exactly and in practice there will surely be some delay. So if you lose 1 million for this market then, it will be in 2024 so no paradox either.
@Zardoru hahaha I just think people anticipate that there will be a degen to lose a couple of manas in the next months 😂