Who will be major candidates in the 2028 Democratic primaries?
28
1.8kṀ19352028
87%
Gavin Newsom
77%
Josh Shapiro
75%
Pete Buttigieg
52%
Jon Ossoff
50%
Ro Khanna
50%
Ruben Gallego
49%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
46%
JB Pritzker
45%
Tim Walz
41%
Andy Beshear
37%
Raphael Warnock
35%
Kamala Harris
35%
Gretchen Whitmer
34%
Chris Murphy
28%
Amy Klobuchar
24%
Cory Booker
24%
Roy Cooper
9%
Stephen A. Smith
For the purposes of this market, a "major candidate" is defined as any candidate who, at any point during the race, had a polling average of at least 10%. In previous years, according to realclearpolling.com, the candidates who would have met this criteria were:
2024: Joe Biden, Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2020: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Mike Bloomberg, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg
2016: Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders
2012: [no data, presumably because Obama was virtually uncontested]
2008: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, John Edwards
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