Will the first manned mission to mars have a Chinese national on board?
Basic
7
Ṁ1682050
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes or no upon formal announcement of the crew, hopefully we have a manned mission announced by 2050 (resolves in 2050)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China beat the USA to Mars?
24% chance
Will a non-Chinese national land on the Moon as part of a Chinese mission before 2035?
34% chance
Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?
34% chance
Will China land someone on the moon on this year?
Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will a female walk on the Moon as part of China's first such mission?
49% chance
Will China land an astronaut on Mars before the USA does?
20% chance
Will the first person to walk on Mars be a woman?
46% chance
Who will be the first person on Mars?
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Will the first crewed mission to Mars be operated by a private company?
30% chance