Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?
52
10kṀ12k2031
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve YES if four of the seven nations in G7 (France, United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Japan, Italy and Canada) have banned messaging apps that use end-to-end encryption, or have otherwise made these apps non-functional or non-private when used in those nations.
Will resolve NO if these apps are still legal and functional in at least four of the seven nations that comprise G7.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the EU force messaging apps to scan encrypted messages for CSAM?
15% chance
At the end of 2025, will TikTok be banned in more countries than Twitter (X) and Telegram combined?
28% chance
before 2026, will Telegram have given any government access to private messages of its users?
59% chance
Will there be a national (US) school phone ban by 2030?
16% chance
In 10 years, will there be a blackmail-resistant messenger?
14% chance
Will most G-7 countries completely ban smoking by 2050?
29% chance
Will The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
8% chance
Will the founder of Telegram be sentenced to jail time in the EU by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will any G-7 nation ban alcohol completely by 2050?
31% chance
Will universal basic income be implemented nationwide in a G7 country by the end of 2028?
7% chance