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MANIFOLD
Will the city of Chicago have 3 consecutive days without a murder by 2025?
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resolved Aug 16
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YES

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For instance, in late February 2024, extreme weather conditions contributed to a rare citywide lull that included zero fatal shootings over multiple consecutive days. Similarly, in April 2025—which logged only 20 total homicides across the entire month, marking Chicago's lowest April total since 1962—the spacing of incidents resulted in multiple 3-day murder-free windows.

I'm not from Chicago so this seems a little morbid, but would it be unrealistic of me to bet yes?

@VadoDaRosa it happened in January, but it didn't happen at all in 2023