Will China and the Philippines have a conflict in the South China Sea that results in at least one death before 2025?
➕
Plus
37
Ṁ2342
Jan 2
33%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

It seems like things are escalating: https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/20/asia/philippines-footage-south-china-sea-clash-china-intl-hnk/index.html

I suspect the shoal desperately needs resupply of construction equipment

Is one death alone enough to resolve yes?

For example say a Chinese vessel sinks a phillipeans fishing vessel and someone dies.

@Daniel_MC No, it must be the death of military personnel

@YoaaauuIohheee is the creating account your alt?

@JoshuaWilkes what do you mean my "alt"

@Yoae alternative account

@JoshuaWilkes No..but I have changed my display name a few times

@Yoae oh I see

@Yoae (Assuming you’re the creator from this), Coast Guard counts as military here or not?

Either way, it would be helpful to specify in the description. It’s misleading right now if you mean a military death as that is not reflected in the title or description.

Comment hidden

@Patrick yes coast guard would count

Great. Thanks!

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules