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MANIFOLD
Will at least 3 American cities reach a population of 1 million for the first time before 2030?
2
Ṁ1kṀ30
2029
51%
chance

Resolves to YES if:

3 American cities have a population of 1 million for the first time (for example, San Jose would not count)

Must happen before 2030

Otherwise resolves to NO

Official state records and census data will be used

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bought Ṁ20 YES

betting YES. three cities above 900k; well within the population growth rate of urban areas, there’s still 4 years left.