Resolves YES if @EliezerYudkowsky writes a tweet about a major derivative mark-to-market LONGVOL trauche correction by end of 2022 (EST).

If it is not clear whether EY's action constitutes "writing a tweet", I will consult @SG, who is the leading expert in predicting EY's tweets. See /SG/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-write-a-twee for discussion of some of the edge cases.

If it is not clear whether the tweet is about a major derivative mark-to-market LONGVOL trauche correction, I will consult the traunche expert @Spindle. See /Spindle/experts-will-agree-that-a-major-der for more details