By the end of 2022, will the most popular market on Manifold have had at least 1000 traders?
By the end of 2022, will the most popular market on Manifold have had at least 1000 traders?
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290Ṁ8099resolved Nov 15
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1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ124 | |
| 2 | Ṁ49 | |
| 3 | Ṁ25 | |
| 4 | Ṁ12 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
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Will Manifold have more than 1445 active traders on any day in 2025?
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Will we collectively be able to bring all markets on Manifold above 10 traders?
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Will the first Manifold market to reach 1 million views have 10,000 or more traders before it reaches 1 million views?
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Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030
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predictedNO 2y
how does one find the market with the most traders now? this market stretches belief at the moment
By the end of 2022, will the most popular market on Manifold have had at least 1000 traders?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Manifold have more than 1445 active traders on any day in 2025?
46% chance
Will we collectively be able to bring all markets on Manifold above 10 traders?
22% chance
Will the first Manifold market to reach 1 million views have 10,000 or more traders before it reaches 1 million views?
49% chance
Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030
48% chance