Was Trump in prison on 11/15/2022? (Resolve to quiescent market price)
12
230Ṁ673
resolved Dec 23
Resolved as
20%

Was the real Donald Trump detained in prison the entire day on 11/15/2022, eastern time?

Quiescence is defined as the probability remaining constant to the nearest percentage point for two consecutive business days, eastern time, including non-business hours and days between them, but not necessarily whole business days.

The market will not close before 11/30/2022 ET, or until it quiesces.

The market will resolve to the probability at the first occurrence of quiescence after 11/30/2022 ET.

The market is to resolve to the consensus probability. If a participant in the market is absent, e.g., on vacation, they may ask in the comments not to close the market before they return.

Based on:

Will Biden still be president at the end of October 2022? (resolves to quiescent market price)

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ20
2Ṁ19
3Ṁ8
4Ṁ1
5Ṁ0
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy