World Chess Championship Round 10 - Prop Bets
World Chess Championship Round 10 - Prop Bets
18
1.3kṀ9371resolved Dec 9
Resolved
NOGame will last 50+ moves
Resolved
YESDing will make his 30th move with more time on the clock than Gukesh (Resolves NO, if the game ends before that)
Resolved
NOGukesh wins
Resolved
YESGame ends in a draw by threefold repetition
Resolved
YESGame will last exactly between 35-45 moves
Resolved
NODing will be the first one to have 15+ minute think between the moves
Resolved
NOOne player will have 45+ minute more on the clock than their opponent before move 40
Resolved
NOIt will be a draw which ends in 35 moves or less
Resolved
NOSomeone refuses repetition
Resolved
NOBoth players will have less than 5 minutes before their 40
Resolved
YESBoth players will spend more than 20 minutes on a single move
Resolved
NODing wins
Resolved
NOSomeone spends 30+ minutes thinking for one move
Add any options you want. Ask for clarification if any options are unclear.
The game will be played on Saturday, 7th of December, 9 AM GMT.
https://lichess.org/broadcast/fide-world-championship-2024/game-10/X5h2mPby#boards
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@traders created round 11 prop bets: https://manifold.markets/ZekeBass/world-chess-championship-round-11-p
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.