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MANIFOLD
Chess Prop Bets: 2026 World Chess Championships
4
Ṁ1.6kṀ450
Dec 30
71%
Will White win more games than Black?
63%
Will there be a streak of 4 or more consecutive draws?
61%
Will any game feature an opening move other than 1. e4 or 1. d4?
55%
Will Gukesh win a game immediately following a loss?
55%
Will the match be decided by a margin of 2 or more points in the classical portion?
50%
Will any game exceed 100 moves?
50%
Will the match be decided before Game 14?
50%
Will the match be tied (e.g., 1–1 or 2–2) after the first four games?
50%
Will Game 1 or Game 2 be a decisive result (not a draw)?
45%
Will the match begin before November 1, 2026?
45%
Will a player who loses a game eventually win the match?
45%
Will the venue be in Europe?
45%
Gukesh retains his WC title
39%
The "Home Field" Factor: Will the venue be in either India or Uzbekistan?
34%
Will there be 4 or more decisive (non-draw) games in the classical portion?
18%
Will Magnus Carlsen provide official commentary for at least one game?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026

The questions are about the upcoming World Chess Championship between Gukesh D (IND) and the winner of the Candidates tournament.

Resolution criteria

Each independent option will resolve to "Yes" if the specific event described occurs during the 2026 World Chess Championship match, and "No" otherwise.


Official results and game statistics will be verified via the official FIDE website (fide.com) or the official tournament broadcast platform. In the event of a dispute or ambiguity, the official FIDE match report will be the final authority.

Background

The 2026 World Chess Championship will feature Gukesh D, who qualified by winning the 2024 Candidates Tournament. He will face the winner of the 2026 Candidates Tournament. This match serves as the ultimate test in classical chess, usually consisting of a multi-game series where players alternate colors. Historically, the venue and exact dates are determined by FIDE following a bidding process. Traders should monitor official FIDE announcements regarding the host country and schedule, as these details are subject to change until finalized.

Market context
Sports Betting
Chess
2026 Chess World Championship
Board Games
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